What’s Really Happening with Mortgage Rates?

Are you feeling a bit unsure about what’s really happening with mortgage rates? That might be because you’ve heard someone say they’re coming down. But then you read somewhere else that they’re up again. And that may leave you scratching your head and wondering what’s true.

The simplest answer is: that what you read or hear will vary based on the time frame they’re looking at. Here’s some information that can help clear up the confusion.

Mortgage Rates Are Volatile by Nature

Mortgage rates don’t move in a straight line. There are too many factors at play for that to happen. Instead, rates bounce around because they’re impacted by things like economic conditions, decisions from the Federal Reserve, and so much more. That means they might be up one day and down the next depending on what’s going on in the economy and the world as a whole.

Take a look at the graph below. It uses data from Mortgage News Daily to show the ebbs and flows in the 30-year fixed mortgage rate since last October:

If you look at the graph, you’ll see a lot of peaks and valleys – some bigger than others. And when you use data like this to explain what’s happening, the story can be different based on which two points in the graph you’re comparing.

For example, if you’re only looking at the beginning of this month through now, you may think mortgage rates are on the way back up. But, if you look at the latest data point and compare it to the peak in October, rates have trended down. So, what’s the right way to look at it?

The Big Picture

Mortgage rates are always going to bounce around. It’s just how they work. So, you shouldn’t focus too much on the small, daily changes. Instead, to really understand the overall trend, zoom out and look at the big picture.

When you look at the highest point (October) compared to where rates are now, you can see they’ve come down compared to last year. And if you’re looking to buy a home, this is big news. Don’t let the little blips distract you. The experts agree, overall, that the larger downward trend could continue this year. 

Bottom Line

Let’s connect if you have any questions about what you’re reading or hearing about the housing market.

2 Factors Impacting Mortgage Rates in Bainbridge Island

Are you considering buying a home in Bainbridge Island? If so, you're likely paying close attention to mortgage rates. Like elsewhere, rates in Bainbridge Island have fluctuated in recent years, hitting lows, rising sharply, and now settling back down. But what factors influence these changes?

The answer is complicated because there’s a lot that can influence mortgage rates. Here are just a few of the most impactful factors at play.

Inflation and the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve (Fed) doesn’t directly determine mortgage rates. But the Fed does move the Federal Funds Rate up or down in response to what’s happening with inflation, the economy, employment rates, and more. As that happens, mortgage rates tend to respond. Business Insider explains:

“The Federal Reserve slows inflation by raising the federal funds rate, which can indirectly impact mortgages. High inflation and investor expectations of more Fed rate hikes can push mortgage rates up. If investors believe the Fed may cut rates and inflation is decelerating, mortgage rates will typically trend down.”

Over the last couple of years, the Fed raised the Federal Fund Rate to try to fight inflation and, as that happened, mortgage rates jumped up, too. Fortunately, the expert outlook for inflation and mortgage rates is that both should become more favorable over the course of the year. As Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, says:

“[M]ortgage rates will continue to ease in 2024 as inflation improves . . .”

There’s even talk the Fed may actually cut the Fed Funds Rate this year because inflation is cooling, even though it’s not yet back to their ideal target.

The 10-Year Treasury Yield

Additionally, mortgage companies look at the 10-Year Treasury Yield to decide how much interest to charge on home loans. If the yield goes up, mortgage rates usually go up, too. The opposite is also true. According to Investopedia:

“One frequently used government bond benchmark to which mortgage lenders often peg their interest rates is the 10-year Treasury bond yield.”

Historically, the spread between the 10-Year Treasury Yield and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has been fairly consistent, but that’s not the case recently. That means, there’s room for mortgage rates to come down. So, keeping an eye on which way the treasury yield is trending can give experts an idea of where mortgage rates may head next.

Bottom Line

With the Fed meeting approaching, industry experts will be watching closely to understand its impact on the economy and, consequently, mortgage rates in Bainbridge Island. To navigate these changes and their effect on your homebuying journey, partnering with a team of local professionals is highly recommended. They can guide you through the complexities of the market and help you secure the best possible mortgage rate for your Bainbridge Island dream home.

Bainbridge Island and the “Silver Tsunami”: Don't Worry, the Waves are Gentle

Have you been hearing whispers of a "Silver Tsunami" crashing into the housing market? It's a catchy term referring to the potential wave of baby boomers downsizing their homes as they age. But before you picture Bainbridge Island's idyllic waterfront swamped with "For Sale" signs, take a deep breath. Experts say the impact is likely to be much calmer than the name suggests.

What Does Silver Tsunami Mean?

A recent article from HousingWire calls it:

“. . . a colloquialism referring to aging Americans changing their housing arrangements to accommodate aging . . .”

The thought is that as baby boomers grow older, a significant number will start downsizing their homes. Considering how large that generation is, if these moves happened in a big wave, it would affect the housing market by causing a significant uptick in the number of larger homes for sale. That influx of homes coming onto the market would impact the balance of supply and demand and more.

The concept makes sense in theory, but will it happen? And if so, when?

Why It Won’t Have a Huge Impact on the Housing Market in 2024

Experts say, so far, a silver tsunami hasn’t happened – and it probably won't anytime soon. According to that same article from HousingWire:

“. . . the silver tsunami’s transformative potential for the U.S. housing market has not yet materialized in any meaningful way, and few expect it to anytime soon.”

Here’s just one reason why. Many baby boomers don’t want to move. Data from the AARP shows over half of the surveyed adults ages 65 and up plan to stay put and age in place in their current home rather than move (see chart below):

Clearly, not every baby boomer is planning to sell or move – and even those who do won’t do it all at once. Instead, it will be more gradual, happening slowly over time. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:

“Demographics are never a tsunami. The baby boomer generation is almost two decades of births. That means they’re going to take about two decades to work their way through.”

Bottom Line

Remember the next time you hear whispers of the "Silver Tsunami": don't let it drown out the steady currents of the housing market. While some adjustments are inevitable, Bainbridge Island and other communities can weather the wave with confidence, knowing that it's more of a gentle tide than a crashing tsunami.

Selling Your Bainbridge Island Home in 2024: 3 Must-Do's for Top Dollar

Are you ready to trade the charming streets of Bainbridge Island for a new adventure? Selling your house can be both exciting and emotional, but with the right approach, you can secure top dollar and move on to your next chapter with a smile.

A great way to balance those emotions and make sure you’re confident in your decision is to keep these three best practices in mind when you’re ready to sell.

1. Price Your Home Right

The housing market shifted in 2023 as mortgage rates rose and home price appreciation started to normalize once again. As a seller, you still need to recognize how important it is to price your house appropriately based on where the market is today. Hannah Jones, Economic Research Analyst for Realtor.com, explains:

“Sellers need to become familiar with their local market and work closely with a local agent to make sure their listing is attractive to buyers. Buyers feeling the pressure of affordability are likely to be pickier, so a well-priced, well-maintained home is the ticket to drumming up big demand.”

If you price your house too high, you run the risk of deterring buyers. And if you go too low, you’re leaving money on the table. An experienced real estate agent can help determine what your ideal asking price should be, so your house moves quickly and for top dollar.

2. Keep Your Emotions in Check

Today, homeowners are staying in their houses longer than they used to. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), since 1985, the average time a homeowner has owned their home has increased from 6 to 10 years (see graph below):

This is much more than what used to be the norm. The side effect, however, is when you stay in one place for so long, you may get even more emotionally attached to your space. If it’s the first home you bought or the house where your loved ones grew up, it very likely means something extra special to you. Every room has memories, and it’s hard to detach from the sentimental value.

For some homeowners, that makes it even tougher to separate the emotional value of the house from fair market price. That’s why you need a real estate professional to help you with the negotiations and the best pricing strategy along the way. Trust the professionals who have your best interests in mind.

3. Stage Your Home Properly

While you may love your decor and how you’ve customized your house over the years, not all buyers will feel the same way about your vibe. That’s why it’s so important to make sure you focus on your home’s first impression, so it appeals to as many buyers as possible.

Buyers want to be able to picture themselves in the home. They need to see themselves inside with their furniture and keepsakes – not your pictures and decorations. As Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist and Vice President of Research at NAR, says:

“Buyers want to easily envision themselves within a new home and home staging is a way to showcase the property in its best light.”

Ready to Sell Your Bainbridge Island? Let's Connect!

Selling your Bainbridge Island home doesn't have to be stressful. With the right real estate professional by your side, you can navigate the process with confidence and secure a smooth transition to your next chapter.

I'm a local Bainbridge Island real estate expert, and I'm here to help! Contact me today for a free consultation, and let's unlock the full potential of your Bainbridge Island haven.

Homeownership Is Still at the Heart of the American Dream: Finding Your Haven on Bainbridge Island

Buying a home is a powerful decision, and it remains at the heart of the American Dream. Unlike renting, owning a home means more than just having a place to live – it offers a sense of belonging, stability, and freedom. According to Nicole Bachaud, Senior Economist at Zillow:

“The American Dream is still owning a home. There’s a lot of pent-up demand for ownership; that isn’t going to go away.”

Let’s explore just a few of the reasons why so many Americans continue to value homeownership. 

The Financial Benefits of Owning a Home

One possible reason homeownership is viewed so highly is because owning a home is a significant wealth-building tool. That may be why Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief and VP of Research at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), says:

“Homeownership is the number one way to build wealth in America.”

Over time, owning a home not only helps boost your own net worth, but it also sets future generations up for success as you pass that wealth down. Habitat for Humanity explains:

“Overall, homeownership promotes wealth building by acting as a forced savings mechanism and through home value appreciation. Homeowners make monthly payments that increase their equity in their homes by paying down the principal balance of their mortgage. . . . In addition, owning a home promotes intergenerational homeownership and wealth building. Children of homeowners transition to homeownership earlier — lengthening the period over which they can accumulate wealth . . .”

It can also provide meaningful financial stability compared to renting. When you buy with a fixed-rate mortgage, you can lock in your monthly housing payments for the length of your home loan.

The Non-Financial Benefits of Homeownership

But, owning a home offers more than just financial benefits—it benefits you socially and emotionally too. Your home provides feelings of achievement, responsibility, and more. In a recent survey, Fannie Mae outlines just a few of these more emotionally-driven benefits, including:

“The top three were having control over what you do with your living space (94%) to having a sense of privacy and security (91%) and having a good place for your family or to raise your children (90%) . . .”

What Does That Mean for You?

If your vision of the American Dream includes greater freedom, stability, and prosperity, Bainbridge Island might just be the perfect canvas to paint your masterpiece. With its breathtaking scenery, vibrant community, and diverse cultural offerings, it's the ideal place to call home.

And, with mortgage rates on a downward trend, there's no better time to consider entering the world of homeownership. The incredible benefits waiting for you aren't just financial; they're the building blocks of a fulfilling life. Like Ksenia Potapov, Economist at First American says:

“...homeownership remains an important driver of wealth accumulation and the largest source of total wealth among most households.”

Bottom Line

Buying a home is a powerful decision, and it doesn't have to be daunting. Let's connect today to explore the possibilities and make your Bainbridge Island dream a reality. You'll gain more than just a house; you'll secure your financial future, create a haven for your loved ones, and embark on a journey of personal growth and fulfillment.

Why Pre-Approval Is Your Homebuying Game Changer

If you’re thinking about buying a home on Bainbridge Island, pre-approval is a crucial part of the process you definitely don’t want to skip. So, before you start picturing yourself in your new living room or dining on your future all-season patio, be sure you’re working with a trusted lender to prioritize this essential step. Here’s why.

While home price growth is moderating and mortgage rates have been coming down in recent weeks, affordability is still tight.  At the same time, there’s a limited number of homes for sale right now, and that means ongoing competition among hopeful buyers. But, if you’re strategic, there are ways to navigate these waters – and pre-approval is the game changer.

What Pre-Approval Does for You

To understand why it’s such an important step, you need to know more about pre-approval. As part of the homebuying process, a lender looks at your finances to determine what they’re willing to loan you. From there, your lender will give you a pre-approval letter to help you understand how much money you can borrow. Freddie Mac explains it like this:

“A pre-approval is an indication from your lender that they are willing to lend you a certain amount of money to buy your future home. . . . Keep in mind that the loan amount in the pre-approval letter is the lender’s maximum offer. Ultimately, you should only borrow an amount you are comfortable repaying.”

Getting pre-approved starts to put you in the mindset of seeing the bigger financial picture, one step at a time. And the key is actually more than just getting a pre-approval letter from your lender. The combination of pre-approval and strategic budgeting is your golden ticket to understanding what you can actually afford. It saves you from painful heartaches down the road so you don’t fall in love with a house that might be out of reach.

Pre-Approval Helps Show Sellers You’re a Serious Buyer

But that's just the beginning. Let’s face it, there are more people looking to buy than there are homes available for sale, and that creates competition among homebuyers. That means you could see yourself in a multiple-offer scenario when you get ready to make your move. But getting pre-approved for a mortgage can help you stand out from other buyers.

In today's fast-moving housing market, having that pre-approval in your back pocket can be your secret weapon. When sellers see you're pre-approved, it tells them you're a strategic and serious buyer. In a world of multiple offers, that's a big deal. As an article from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) says:

“If you plan to use a mortgage for your home purchase, preapproval should be among the first steps in your search process. Not only can getting preapproved help you zero in on the right price range, but it can give you a leg up on other buyers, too.”

Pre-approval shows sellers you’re more than just a window shopper. You’re a buyer who’s already undergone a credit and financial check, making it more likely that the sale will move forward without unexpected delays or issues. Sellers love that because they see your offer as a reliable one. A win-win, right?

Bottom Line

So, before you start mentally arranging furniture in your dream home on Bainbridge Island, work with a trusted lender to get your pre-approval set. It’ll save you time, stress, and a lot of headaches that could come up along the way without it. The reality is, the more prepared you are, the more likely you are to land the home you’re longing for.

Considering Retirement? Bainbridge Island Could Be Your Perfect Next Chapter

If you’re thinking about retirement or have already retired this year, it’s a good time to consider if your current house is still a good fit for the next chapter in your life.

Fortunately, you may be in a better position to make a move than you realize. Here are a few things to think about as you decide whether or not to sell and make a move.

How Long You’ve Been in Your Home

From 1985 to 2008, the average length of time homeowners typically stayed in their homes was only six years. But according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), that number is rising today, meaning many homeowners are living in their houses even longer (see graph below):

Living in a home for an extended period often means navigating through various life changes and milestones. As these events unfold, your needs may evolve. If your current residence no longer aligns with these changing requirements, there could be more suitable options awaiting you, especially if you are considering a move to Bainbridge Island.

How Much Equity You’ve Gained

Additionally, if you’ve been in your house for more than a few years, you’ve likely built-up significant equity that can fuel your next move. That’s because the longer you’ve been in your house, the more likely it’s grown in value due to home price appreciation. Data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) illustrates that point (see graph below):

While home price growth varies by state and local area, the national average shows the typical homeowner who’s been in their house for five years saw it increase in value by nearly 60%. And the average homeowner who’s owned their home since 1991 saw it more than triple in value over that time.

Consider Your Retirement Goals

Whether you're looking to downsize, relocate to a dream destination, or simply be closer to loved ones, your home equity can be a key to realizing your homeownership goals. NAR shares that for recent home sellers, the primary reason to move was to be closer to loved ones.

No matter what your home goals entail, a reliable real estate agent can collaborate with you to identify the best options, especially if you're considering a move to Bainbridge Island. They'll assist in selling your current house and guide you through the process of purchasing a home that perfectly suits your current lifestyle.

Bottom Line

Retirement often marks a significant transition in life, impacting your housing needs. Let’s connect to explore the diverse range of available homes in our area, especially if you are considering a move to Bainbridge Island.

5 Keys to Unlocking Happiness in Your Bainbridge Island Home

Bainbridge Island's idyllic setting and charming homes have long captured hearts, but there's no denying the long-term financial benefits of owning your own piece of this island paradise. However, in today's housing market, you might be wondering if now's still the time to buy. While the financial aspects of homeownership are important, the non-financial and emotional reasons are too. Here's why.

The word "home" truly means something different to everyone. Whether it's sharing laughter with loved ones around a crackling fireplace or watching the sunset over the Puget Sound from your cozy window seat, the emotional connections we have to our homes can be just as important as the financial ones. Here are some of the things that turn a house into a happy home on Bainbridge Island:

1. You Can Be Proud of Your Accomplishment

Buying a home on Bainbridge Island is a major life milestone. Whether you're a first-time islander or a seasoned resident, congratulations will be in order once you've achieved your goal. The sense of accomplishment you'll feel at the end of your journey will truly make your island home feel like your special place. Go ahead and raise a glass to yourself – you've earned it.

2. You Have Your Own Designated Island Oasis

Owning your Bainbridge Island home offers not only safety and security, but also a comfortable haven where you can relax and unwind after a long day exploring the island's beaches, parks, and charming shops. Sometimes that's just what you need to feel refreshed and recharged, ready to embrace the island lifestyle.

3. You Can Find the Space To Meet Your Island Needs

Whether you crave a waterfront retreat with a private dock, a cozy cabin nestled in the woods, or a spacious home perfect for hosting family gatherings, you can invest in a Bainbridge Island property that truly works for your evolving needs. Maybe you dream of a home studio for your artistic pursuits or a backyard haven for your furry companions. The possibilities are endless when you own your own piece of paradise.

4. You Can Customize Your Surroundings

Looking to try one of those decorative wall treatments you saw online? Tired of restrictive apartment rules and regulations? Or maybe you want to create an in-house haven for your yoga practice or a reading nook bathed in natural light. When you own your Bainbridge Island home, you can personalize your space to reflect your unique style and island dreams.

Bottom Line

Whether you're planning to buy your first island home, or you're ready to move into a different one to meet your changing needs, think about the emotional benefits that can turn a house into a happy home on Bainbridge Island. Let your island dreams guide you, and when you're ready to make a move, let's connect. Together, we can find your perfect piece of paradise.

If your Bainbridge Island property remains unsold, it might be overpriced

Are you experiencing a prolonged period where your Bainbridge Island home remains on the market without a buyer? This situation is notably unusual in the current real estate climate. Typically, the inventory of available homes is significantly lower than what's considered normal, presenting fewer choices for buyers. In this scenario, your property should stand out as a rare find in a sparse market.

So, if homebuyers have limited choices and your house still hasn’t sold, there’s a reason why. Let’s break one potential sticking point that may be turning buyers away: your asking price.

Especially with today’s higher mortgage rates already putting a stretch on their budget, buyers are being a bit more sensitive about price. As a recent article from the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) says:

“If you are serious about selling your home now, don’t get greedy with the asking price. This is still a seller’s home market as there simply aren’t enough affordable homes for sale in many parts of the country. But with average 30-year mortgage rates above 6%, buyers are much more price-sensitive than they were a year ago.”

Why Setting the Right Price Matters

While you want to maximize the return on your investment when you sell your house, you also need to be realistic based on current market conditions. The simple truth is your house is only going to sell for what people are willing to pay right now.

This can be a hard thing to accept. Especially since emotions can run high during the selling process, which only complicates matters more. After all, you may have lived in this house for years, so it’s only natural you’re emotionally tied to it – and those heartstrings can make it harder to be objective. 

But it’s important to acknowledge that a bigger-than-expected price tag deters buyers and may make them dismiss your house as a possibility before even seeing it. And if no one’s looking at it, how will it sell?

To reignite interest in your home, consider consulting a local real estate expert. They can leverage market data to assess if your property is overpriced for the Bainbridge Island market. By considering factors like neighborhood values, current market trends, buyer demand, and your home's condition, a real estate agent can help determine an appropriate price, paving the way for your next life chapter.

Bottom Line

In today's market, where available homes are scarce, the asking price of your Bainbridge Island property remains a crucial factor. If your home isn't selling, it's likely priced too high.